Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.13
assuming max odds 8.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oklahoma City Thunder (Local): 86.73%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 13.27%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.53. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.19%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.50%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.77I 12.87%NM 12.50%EV +3.14%E +0.404%K +0.464%G +0.015% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 01:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.37%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.63%EV +2.88%E +0.371%K +0.426%G +0.012% | 2.2% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.37%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.68I 13.02%NM 12.63%EV +1.95%E +0.253%K +0.291%G +0.006% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +1.02%E +0.134%K +0.154%G +0.002% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +0.884%E +0.116%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +0.220%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:43 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -3.76%E -0.519%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 01:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -3.76%E -0.519%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.43%E -0.615%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 01:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 01:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 01:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.20%E -6.73%K -102.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -8.94%E -8.51%K -178.76%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.00%E -1.77%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -17.70%E -2.85%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -25.66%E -4.58%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 01:41 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.93% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 13.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92% | 2.3% | 2026-05-08 01:44 |