La escuela de los momios

Oklahoma City Thunder v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-05-08 01:46 UTC

Final: Oklahoma City Thunder 125–107 Los Angeles Lakers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 86.73%1.15momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -15.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.46%86.44%86.69%88.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.101.101.1395.24%90.89%90.91%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 13.27%7.53momio equitativo
EV +6.19%
Ventaja +0.774%
Kelly +0.885%
Crecimiento +0.055%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.89%13.56%13.31%16.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.607.197.508.0017.86%13.91%13.33%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Dabble (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.50%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.50%EV +3.14%E +0.404%K +0.464%G +0.015%3.0%2026-05-08 01:39
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 87.37%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.63%EV +2.88%E +0.371%K +0.426%G +0.012%2.2%2026-05-08 01:45
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 87.37%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.63%EV +1.95%E +0.253%K +0.291%G +0.006%3.1%2026-05-08 01:44
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +1.02%E +0.134%K +0.154%G +0.002%4.0%2026-05-08 01:44
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +0.884%E +0.116%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.1%2026-05-08 01:45
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +0.220%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 01:44
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:43
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:45
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:45
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:43
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:45
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:45
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 01:45
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -3.76%E -0.519%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 01:40
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -3.76%E -0.519%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 01:45
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.43%E -0.615%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 01:45
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 01:44
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:44
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:44
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:43
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:44
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:38
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 01:44
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 01:30
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.20%E -6.73%K -102.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 01:44
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -8.94%E -8.51%K -178.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 01:45
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 01:40
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 01:44
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 01:44
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 01:44
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.00%E -1.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 01:44
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -17.70%E -2.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -25.66%E -4.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 01:41
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.93%7.58I 13.19%NM 13.07%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-05-08 01:44