L’École des cotes

Oklahoma City Thunder v Los Angeles Lakers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 01:46 UTC

Score final : Oklahoma City Thunder 125–107 Los Angeles Lakers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prévision 86.73%1.15cote équitable
EV -2.00%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -15.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.46%86.44%86.69%88.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.101.1395.24%90.89%90.91%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Lakers (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.27%7.53cote équitable
EV +6.19%
Avantage +0.774%
Kelly +0.885%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.89%13.56%13.31%16.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.607.197.508.0017.86%13.91%13.33%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Dabble (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +6.19%E +0.774%K +0.885%G +0.055%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.50%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.50%EV +3.14%E +0.404%K +0.464%G +0.015%3.0%2026-05-08 01:39
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 87.37%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.63%EV +2.88%E +0.371%K +0.426%G +0.012%2.2%2026-05-08 01:45
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 87.37%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.68I 13.02%NM 12.63%EV +1.95%E +0.253%K +0.291%G +0.006%3.1%2026-05-08 01:44
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +1.02%E +0.134%K +0.154%G +0.002%4.0%2026-05-08 01:44
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV +0.884%E +0.116%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.1%2026-05-08 01:45
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 87.18%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.82%EV +0.220%E +0.029%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 01:44
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:43
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:45
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:45
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:43
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:45
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:45
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 01:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.444%E -0.059%K -0.068%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 01:45
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -3.76%E -0.519%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 01:40
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -3.76%E -0.519%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 01:45
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -4.43%E -0.615%K -0.714%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 01:45
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-08 01:44
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:44
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:44
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:43
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 01:44
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 01:38
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 01:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.47%E -5.02%K -60.77%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 01:44
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.34%E -5.87%K -79.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 01:30
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.20%E -6.73%K -102.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 01:44
LeoVegas1.05I 95.24%NM 86.96%EV -8.94%E -8.51%K -178.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.08%E -1.01%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 01:45
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -10.40%E -1.54%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 01:40
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 01:44
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 01:44
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 01:44
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 01:45
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.60%E -4.18%K -46.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.72%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.00%E -1.77%K -15.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 01:44
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.87%E -2.56%K -23.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -17.04%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -17.70%E -2.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -3.73%E -3.36%K -33.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -25.66%E -4.58%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 01:41
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.93%7.58I 13.19%NM 13.07%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-05-08 01:44
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.02%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.98%1.2%2026-05-08 01:44
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-05-08 01:44
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-05-08 01:44