A Escola das Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets

Início: 2026-03-09 23:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Previsão 59.03%1.69odd justa
EV +0.346%
Vantagem +0.203%
Kelly +0.494%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.14%59.03%59.12%65.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.611.611.7069.44%62.30%62.11%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Previsão 40.97%2.44odd justa
EV +12.68%
Vantagem +4.61%
Kelly +7.24%
Crescimento +0.918%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.37%40.97%40.88%42.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.352.352.7546.51%42.50%42.55%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -15.00%E -10.42%K -34.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +12.68%E +4.61%K +7.24%G +0.918%5.8%2026-03-09 23:39
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.43%E +0.973%K +1.62%G +0.039%4.1%2026-03-09 23:38
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:39
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:40
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:39
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:39
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:40
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -0.845%E -0.349%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-09 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 23:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 23:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -9.10%E -5.91%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:35
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 23:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 23:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 23:39
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:39
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 23:39
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:37
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:30
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 23:30
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 23:30
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.12%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.346%E +0.203%K +0.494%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-09 23:38
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 23:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 23:39
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:39
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:39
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 23:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:39
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-03-09 23:40
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-03-09 23:29
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-03-09 23:40
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-09 23:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-09 23:39
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-09 23:40