L’École des cotes

Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 23:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Prévision 59.03%1.69cote équitable
EV +0.346%
Avantage +0.203%
Kelly +0.494%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%59.03%59.12%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.611.611.7069.44%62.30%62.11%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denver Nuggets (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.97%2.44cote équitable
EV +12.68%
Avantage +4.61%
Kelly +7.24%
Croissance +0.918%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%40.97%40.88%42.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.352.352.7546.51%42.50%42.55%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -15.00%E -10.42%K -34.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +12.68%E +4.61%K +7.24%G +0.918%5.8%2026-03-09 23:39
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.43%E +0.973%K +1.62%G +0.039%4.1%2026-03-09 23:38
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:39
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%4.0%2026-03-09 23:40
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:39
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:39
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 23:40
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -0.845%E -0.349%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-09 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 23:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 23:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:40
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -9.10%E -5.91%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:35
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 23:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 23:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 23:39
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:39
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-09 23:39
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 23:39
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:37
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 23:30
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 23:30
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 23:30
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.12%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.346%E +0.203%K +0.494%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-09 23:38
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 23:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 23:39
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 23:39
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:39
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 23:40
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 23:39
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 23:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:39
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-03-09 23:40
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-03-09 23:29
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-03-09 23:40
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-03-09 23:40
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-09 23:40
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-03-09 23:39
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-03-09 23:40