Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-03-09 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

59%

41%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Local)

Predicción 59.03%1.69momio equitativo

EV +0.346%

Ventaja +0.203%

Kelly +0.494%

Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

57.14%59.03%59.12%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.441.611.611.7069.44%62.30%62.11%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 40.97%2.44momio equitativo

EV +12.68%

Ventaja +4.61%

Kelly +7.24%

Crecimiento +0.918%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

34.37%40.97%40.88%42.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.152.352.352.7546.51%42.50%42.55%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
William Hill	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -15.00%E -10.42%K -34.09%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +12.68%E +4.61%K +7.24%G +0.918%	5.8%	2026-03-09 23:39
Coolbet	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.43%E +0.973%K +1.62%G +0.039%	4.1%	2026-03-09 23:38
Unibet (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%	4.0%	2026-03-09 23:39
Unibet (NL)	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%	4.0%	2026-03-09 23:39
ATG (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%	4.0%	2026-03-09 23:40
Svenska Spel	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +1.61%E +0.651%K +1.09%G +0.018%	4.0%	2026-03-09 23:40
Unibet	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-09 23:39
LiveScore Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
Virgin Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-09 23:40
BetRivers	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
TABtouch	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
betPARX	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-09 23:40
Bally Bet	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -0.435%E -0.179%K -0.304%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-09 23:40
Pinnacle	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -0.845%E -0.349%K -0.595%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-03-09 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-09 23:29
BetMGM	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-09 23:40
Betr (AU)	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.66%E -0.694%K -1.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-09 23:40
ReBet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-09 23:29
Unibet (FR)	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -9.10%E -5.91%K -16.85%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-09 23:35
LeoVegas	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-09 23:39
Coral	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-09 23:39
LowVig.ag	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-03-09 23:39
FanDuel	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-09 23:40
BetOnline.ag	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-09 23:39
BetAnything	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
Everygame	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-03-09 23:39
PointsBet (AU)	1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-09 23:39
TAB	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
Caesars	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-09 23:37
GTbets	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
Marathon Bet	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-09 23:29
MyBookie.ag	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.08%K -8.14%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-09 23:30
Codere (IT)	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-09 23:30
Tipico (DE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
NetBet (FR)	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.69%E -6.33%K -18.28%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-09 23:30
BetUS	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.12%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
Bet Victor	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV +0.346%E +0.203%K +0.494%G +0.002%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-03-09 23:38
Bovada	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-09 23:39
theScore Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-03-09 23:39
DraftKings	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-09 23:39
PlayUp	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-03-09 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
Neds	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
Fanatics	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-09 23:39
Paddy Power	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-09 23:40
NordicBet	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-09 23:39
Betsson	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-09 23:40
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-09 23:30
Winamax (DE)	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.835%E -0.497%K -1.23%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-09 23:39
Unibet (UK)	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-09 23:40
Dabble (AU)	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.43%E -0.853%K -2.13%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
Fliff	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-09 23:40
Sky Bet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
Betway	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-09 23:39
Bet Right	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
Hard Rock Bet	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-09 23:39
Winamax (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-09 23:40
Betclic (FR)	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-03-09 23:40

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Matchbook	1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%	0.0%	2026-03-09 23:40
BetOpenly	1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%	3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%	0.2%	2026-03-09 23:29
ProphetX	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%	0.3%	2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%	0.5%	2026-03-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%	0.7%	2026-03-09 23:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%	2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%	0.9%	2026-03-09 23:40
Novig	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%	0.9%	2026-03-09 23:40
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-03-09 23:40
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%	1.2%	2026-03-09 23:39
Smarkets	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%	1.6%	2026-03-09 23:40