StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New Orleans Pelicans v Denver Nuggets

Spielbeginn: 2026-11-15 00:11 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

69 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

18%

82%

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New Orleans Pelicans (Heim)

Prognose 17.55%5.70faire Quote

EV +5.31%

Vorteil +0.886%

Kelly +1.06%

Wachstum +0.056%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen

15.97%17.73%17.42%22.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Quotenverteilung

3.805.425.506.0026.32%18.44%18.18%16.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Denver Nuggets (Auswärts)

Prognose 82.45%1.21faire Quote

EV -2.71%

Vorteil -2.30%

Kelly -15.06%

Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen

77.55%82.27%82.58%84.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Quotenverteilung

1.091.151.151.1891.74%86.96%86.96%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: New Orleans Pelicans (Heim): 17.55%; Denver Nuggets (Auswärts): 82.45%. Für New Orleans Pelicans (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.70. 18 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.31%.

Wettanbieterquoten (69 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

Wettanbieter	Heim ▼	Auswärts	Marge	Aktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +5.31%E +0.886%K +1.06%G +0.056%	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 15:09
LowVig.ag🎯	5.87I 17.04%NM 16.50%EV +3.03%E +0.516%K +0.622%G +0.019%	1.16I 86.21%NM 83.50%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-14 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:05
BetRivers🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:05
TABtouch🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:05
Unibet🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-14 22:34
betPARX🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:05
Bally Bet🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.80%E +0.311%K +0.376%G +0.007%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-14 22:34
Pinnacle🎯	5.78I 17.30%NM 16.83%EV +1.45%E +0.251%K +0.304%G +0.004%	1.17I 85.47%NM 83.17%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-14 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV +1.10%E +0.191%K +0.231%G +0.003%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-14 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +0.925%E +0.161%K +0.195%G +0.002%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.83%E -6.05%K -52.57%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:05
ReBet🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +0.048%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-14 21:20
Everygame🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +0.048%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-14 17:57
Tipico (DE)🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +0.048%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.83%E -6.05%K -52.57%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-14 23:45
GTbets🎯	5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -0.830%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-15 00:00
SportsBet🎯	5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -0.830%E -0.147%K -0.179%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-14 22:10
betano_uk🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -1.71%E -0.305%K -0.371%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-14 23:48
Bet Victor🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -1.71%E -0.305%K -0.371%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-11-14 23:48
Winamax (DE)🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -1.71%E -0.305%K -0.371%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-15 00:10
FanDuel🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -1.71%E -0.305%K -0.371%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 22:10
Codere (IT)🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.71%E -0.305%K -0.371%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-14 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -1.71%E -0.305%K -0.371%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.83%E -6.05%K -52.57%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-15 00:05
1xBet🎯	5.56I 17.99%NM 17.38%EV -2.41%E -0.433%K -0.528%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.62%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-14 23:24
BetUS🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-15 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 23:20
TAB🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 23:30
BetMGM🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-15 00:09
picklebet_au🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 23:05
Bovada🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-15 00:10
BetAnything🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 20:05
Paddy Power🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 20:40
betfred_uk🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 21:20
PlayUp🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-14 20:39
BoyleSports🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.46%E -0.630%K -0.770%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.66%E -6.84%K -63.82%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-15 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -5.22%E -0.966%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯	5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -5.22%E -0.966%K -1.19%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -10.13%E -9.30%K -112.58%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-15 00:05
Fanatics🎯	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.97%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:09
Fliff🎯	5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -6.97%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:10
Bet Right🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.36%E -3.76%K -27.25%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 18:19
Coral🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-15 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-15 00:10
Betsson🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.85%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-14 23:30
Neds🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:09
888sport🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 11:10
William Hill🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 11:09
Coolbet🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-15 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -8.73%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -9.31%E -8.46%K -93.07%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-14 23:50
Caesars🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -2.71%E -2.30%K -15.06%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-14 20:40
Casumo🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 21:55
DraftKings🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-15 00:10
theScore Bet🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-15 00:10
Sky Bet🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.54%E -3.02%K -20.80%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 22:30
NordicBet🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -12.24%E -2.45%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.19%E -4.51%K -34.57%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-15 00:10
LeoVegas🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -13.99%E -2.86%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -6.01%E -5.27%K -42.93%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-11-15 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯	4.65I 21.51%NM 19.27%EV -18.38%E -3.95%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 80.73%EV -8.48%E -7.64%K -77.12%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-11-15 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -19.26%E -4.19%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -6.83%E -6.05%K -52.57%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-11-15 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.45%EV -33.30%E -8.76%K -11.89%G +0.000%	1.10I 90.91%NM 77.55%EV -9.31%E -8.46%K -93.07%G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-11-15 00:03

Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

Wettanbieter	Heim	Auswärts	Marge ▲	Aktualisiert
BetOpenly◎	6.62I 15.11%NM 15.13%	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.87%	-0.1%	2026-11-14 23:55
Polymarket◎	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:00
Kalshi◎	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%	0.7%	2026-11-14 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%	0.9%	2026-11-14 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%	0.9%	2026-11-14 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%	1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%	0.9%	2026-11-14 22:10
ProphetX◎	6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%	1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%	1.1%	2026-11-14 23:45
Novig◎	6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%	1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%	1.2%	2026-11-15 00:10
Matchbook◎	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%	1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%	1.6%	2026-11-15 00:10
Smarkets◎	6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%	1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%	2.9%	2026-11-15 00:00

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