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Minnesota Timberwolves v Memphis Grizzlies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Prediction 85.44%1.17fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -18.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.13%85.34%85.41%87.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.78%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)
Prediction 14.56%6.87fair odd
EV +9.21%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.131%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.69%14.66%14.59%17.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.556.507.5019.61%15.28%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 85.44%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 14.56%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.87. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.21%E +1.23%K +1.42%G +0.131% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV +1.20%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.06%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.94%EV -0.255%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.49%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.51%EV -3.02%E -0.454%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.40%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.60%EV -3.75%E -0.567%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.89%E -0.590%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.89%E -0.590%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -5.93%E -0.918%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -8.26%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.99%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.99%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.72%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 01:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.60%E -2.28%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 01:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -25.74%E -5.05%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.15% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.85% | -0.2% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.94% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 15.06% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |