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Minnesota Timberwolves v Memphis Grizzlies
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)
Predicción 85.44%1.17momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -2.28%
Kelly -18.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.13%85.34%85.41%87.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.78%90.09%87.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Memphis Grizzlies (Visitante)
Predicción 14.56%6.87momio equitativo
EV +9.21%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.131%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.69%14.66%14.59%17.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.106.556.507.5019.61%15.28%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 85.44%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visitante): 14.56%. Para Memphis Grizzlies (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.87. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.21%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.21%E +1.23%K +1.42%G +0.131% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV +1.20%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.06%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.94%EV -0.255%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.49%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.66I 15.02%NM 14.51%EV -3.02%E -0.454%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.40%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.60%EV -3.75%E -0.567%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.89%E -0.590%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.89%E -0.590%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 01:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -5.93%E -0.918%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -8.26%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.99%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.99%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.72%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 01:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.60%E -2.28%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 01:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -25.74%E -5.05%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.15% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.85% | -0.2% | 2026-03-04 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.94% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 15.06% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |