L’École des cotes

Minnesota Timberwolves v Memphis Grizzlies

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 01:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prévision 85.44%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -18.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.13%85.34%85.41%87.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.111.111.1491.74%89.78%90.09%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Memphis Grizzlies (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.56%6.87cote équitable
EV +9.21%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.131%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.69%14.66%14.59%17.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.106.556.507.5019.61%15.28%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +9.21%E +1.23%K +1.42%G +0.131%5.1%2026-03-04 01:10
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-04 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%3.6%2026-03-04 01:10
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-04 01:09
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-04 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-04 01:10
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-04 01:10
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-04 01:10
Dabble (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.93%E +0.276%K +0.322%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-04 01:10
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 86.23%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.77%EV +1.20%E +0.173%K +0.202%G +0.002%4.5%2026-03-04 01:10
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.06%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.94%EV -0.255%E -0.037%K -0.044%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:59
SportsBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:10
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:09
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -0.983%E -0.145%K -0.169%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:09
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 01:10
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 01:09
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 01:10
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 01:10
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 01:10
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.71%E -0.253%K -0.298%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 01:10
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.49%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.66I 15.02%NM 14.51%EV -3.02%E -0.454%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 01:09
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.40%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.60%EV -3.75%E -0.567%K -0.668%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 01:10
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.89%E -0.590%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:10
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.89%E -0.590%K -0.696%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:09
Parions Sport (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:59
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 01:10
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 01:09
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:09
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:09
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:10
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 01:06
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:10
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:09
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:10
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:10
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:10
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 01:10
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:10
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:10
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.02%E -5.47%K -60.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -5.35%E -0.823%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -5.93%E -0.918%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:10
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:59
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 00:59
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.87%E -6.30%K -76.35%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.81%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -8.26%E -1.31%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:04
Betr (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.99%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.99%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 01:10
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.31%E -3.85%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -9.72%E -1.57%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 01:01
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.60%E -2.28%K -18.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:10
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:10
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:10
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.45%E -3.06%K -26.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 01:10
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 00:59
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.63%E -2.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 01:06
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -5.16%E -4.65%K -46.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -25.74%E -5.05%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 01:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.15%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.85%-0.2%2026-03-04 00:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-03-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-03-04 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%0.2%2026-03-04 01:10
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-04 01:10
Polymarket1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-03-04 01:10
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-03-04 01:10
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 84.94%6.54I 15.29%NM 15.06%1.5%2026-03-04 01:10
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 84.66%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.8%2026-03-04 01:10
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-03-04 01:10