Language:English
Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 87.98%1.14fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -21.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.87%87.92%88.01%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.091.1195.24%92.25%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Wizards (Visit)
Prediction 12.02%8.32fair odd
EV +8.15%
Edge +0.905%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%12.08%11.99%14.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.878.009.0015.38%12.70%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 87.98%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 12.02%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.32. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +8.15%E +0.905%K +1.02%G +0.083% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 3.5% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:38 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.74%E -6.36%K -112.29%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.45%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.55%EV +0.339%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.31%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 8.31I 12.03%NM 11.69%EV -0.142%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.20%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.15I 12.27%NM 11.80%EV -2.06%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV -2.91%E -0.360%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.07I 12.39%NM 11.80%EV -3.03%E -0.375%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 23:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.62%E -7.25%K -152.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -5.55%E -0.706%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -6.27%E -0.804%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -7.47%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.59%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.41%EV -9.27%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.88%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.34%E -2.11%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -21.89%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 0.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.82% | 9.71I 10.30%NM 10.18% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48% | 1.5% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |