مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Heat v Washington Wizards

البداية: 2026-03-10 23:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 87.98%1.14السعر العادل
EV -2.34%
الأفضلية -2.11%
Kelly -21.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
85.87%87.92%88.01%89.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.051.081.091.1195.24%92.25%91.74%90.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Washington Wizards (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.02%8.32السعر العادل
EV +8.15%
الأفضلية +0.905%
Kelly +1.02%
النمو +0.083%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.63%12.08%11.99%14.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.507.878.009.0015.38%12.70%12.50%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +8.15%E +0.905%K +1.02%G +0.083%4.6%2026-03-10 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%3.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:29
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:38
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:29
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.74%E -6.36%K -112.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-10 23:40
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.45%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.55%EV +0.339%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:39
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.31%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%8.31I 12.03%NM 11.69%EV -0.142%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 23:39
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 88.20%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.80%EV -2.06%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:40
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV -2.91%E -0.360%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.80%EV -3.03%E -0.375%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 23:33
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
SportsBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:38
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:39
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.62%E -7.25%K -152.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -5.55%E -0.706%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-10 23:40
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -6.27%E -0.804%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:39
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -7.47%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.59%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.41%EV -9.27%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 23:35
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:39
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.88%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:40
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.34%E -2.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -21.89%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.82%9.71I 10.30%NM 10.18%1.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-10 23:40
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-10 23:29