La escuela de los momios

Miami Heat v Washington Wizards

Inicio: 2026-03-10 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Predicción 87.98%1.14momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -21.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.87%87.92%88.01%89.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.081.091.1195.24%92.25%91.74%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Washington Wizards (Visitante)

Predicción 12.02%8.32momio equitativo
EV +8.15%
Ventaja +0.905%
Kelly +1.02%
Crecimiento +0.083%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.63%12.08%11.99%14.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.878.009.0015.38%12.70%12.50%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +8.15%E +0.905%K +1.02%G +0.083%4.6%2026-03-10 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%3.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:29
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:38
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%4.4%2026-03-10 23:29
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.74%E -6.36%K -112.29%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +2.14%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-10 23:40
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.45%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.55%EV +0.339%E +0.041%K +0.046%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:39
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.31%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%8.31I 12.03%NM 11.69%EV -0.142%E -0.017%K -0.019%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 23:39
Fliff1.09I 91.74%NM 88.20%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.80%EV -2.06%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 23:40
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV -2.91%E -0.360%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.20%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.07I 12.39%NM 11.80%EV -3.03%E -0.375%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 23:33
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
SportsBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:38
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
TAB1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:30
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:39
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:40
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.62%E -7.25%K -152.35%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -3.87%E -0.483%K -0.552%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -5.55%E -0.706%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-10 23:40
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -6.27%E -0.804%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:39
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -7.47%E -0.970%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.59%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.41%EV -9.27%E -1.23%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 23:35
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:39
betPARX1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Bally Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.10%E -3.76%K -45.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:40
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 23:40
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -9.88%E -1.32%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.98%E -4.61%K -62.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -12.88%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 23:40
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.34%E -2.11%K -21.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:40
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.22%E -2.93%K -32.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:40
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -15.88%E -2.27%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -5.86%E -5.47%K -83.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -21.89%E -3.37%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%0.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.82%9.71I 10.30%NM 10.18%1.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Smarkets1.10I 90.91%NM 89.52%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.48%1.5%2026-03-10 23:40
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.43%1.7%2026-03-10 23:40
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-10 23:29