Language:English
Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 40.43%2.47fair odd
EV -0.943%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.650%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.51%40.23%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.372.4544.44%42.33%42.19%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Antonio Spurs (Visit)
Prediction 59.57%1.68fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.49%59.77%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.53%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 40.43%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 59.57%. For Miami Heat (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -0.943%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 22:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 22:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.35%E -0.552%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -2.16%E -0.891%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 22:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-23 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 22:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 22:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -4.58%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-23 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.26%E -5.37%K -15.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.20%E -2.67%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 22:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -8.63%E -3.82%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 22:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 0.2% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-23 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-03-23 22:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 19:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-03-23 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-03-23 22:59 |