L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-23 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 40.43%2.47cote équitable
EV -0.943%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.650%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.05%40.51%40.23%42.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.362.372.4544.44%42.33%42.19%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Antonio Spurs (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.57%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.69%59.49%59.77%60.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.53%62.50%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 22:24
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 22:55
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:00
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.35%E -0.552%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-23 22:35
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -2.16%E -0.891%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-23 23:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 22:19
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 22:53
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 21:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:19
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 22:59
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:04
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 22:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:00
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 22:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:05
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:59
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:35
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 22:59
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:55
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 22:14
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:59
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -4.58%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-23 22:54
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:54
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:54
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 18:19
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 21:59
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 23:05
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 23:04
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 23:04
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:05
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 22:59
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.26%E -5.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 23:00
ReBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 22:59
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.20%E -2.67%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 22:19
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:59
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:05
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 22:59
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:59
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:59
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 23:00
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -8.63%E -3.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:58
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 22:14
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-23 23:05
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-03-23 22:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-23 23:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-23 19:39
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-03-23 23:05
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-03-23 22:59