La escuela de los momios

Miami Heat v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-03-23 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Predicción 40.43%2.47momio equitativo
EV -0.943%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.650%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.05%40.51%40.23%42.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.362.372.4544.44%42.33%42.19%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 59.57%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.69%59.49%59.77%60.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.601.601.6564.94%62.53%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 22:24
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 22:55
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.943%E -0.385%K -0.650%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:00
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV -1.35%E -0.552%K -0.936%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-23 22:35
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -2.16%E -0.891%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-23 23:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 22:19
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-23 22:53
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 23:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 21:59
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.29%E -3.32%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-23 18:19
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 22:59
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:04
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 22:55
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 22:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 23:00
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 22:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:05
SportsBet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-23 22:59
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.37%E -1.41%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 22:35
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-23 22:59
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.09%E -2.54%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:55
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 22:14
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 21:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.07%E -4.53%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.18%E -1.76%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 21:59
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -4.58%E -1.94%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-23 22:54
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:54
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:54
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-23 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 18:19
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 21:59
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 23:05
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-23 23:04
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-23 23:04
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:05
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.48%E -4.13%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 22:59
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.26%E -5.37%K -15.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-23 23:00
ReBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.79%E -2.49%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-23 22:59
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.20%E -2.67%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 22:19
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-23 22:59
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -2.31%E -1.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 23:05
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 22:59
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:59
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.69%E -2.93%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 22:59
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.90%E -1.78%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.88%E -3.72%K -10.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-23 23:00
MyBookie.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -8.63%E -3.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 22:58
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.71%E -1.04%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 23:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 22:14
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.50%E -2.16%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.03%E -4.01%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.67%E -4.95%K -13.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%0.2%2026-03-23 23:00
Novig2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%0.4%2026-03-23 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-03-23 23:05
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-03-23 22:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-23 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-03-23 23:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-23 19:39
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-23 23:05
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-03-23 23:05
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-03-23 22:59