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Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 66.46%1.50fair odd
EV -0.313%
Edge -0.209%
Kelly -0.626%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.29%66.40%66.43%67.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.66%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)
Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV +0.626%
Edge +0.209%
Kelly +0.313%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.60%33.57%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.25%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 66.46%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 33.54%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.626%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.626%E +0.209%K +0.313%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.39%E -0.822%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.31%E -1.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.40%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.40%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 23:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.29%E -6.01%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.97%E -2.04%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:32 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.64%E -1.11%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -8.09%E -2.95%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.44%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.44%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-12 23:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.54% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.46% | 0.0% | 2026-03-12 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |