L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 23:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 66.46%1.50cote équitable
EV -0.313%
Avantage -0.209%
Kelly -0.626%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.29%66.40%66.43%67.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.66%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Bucks (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.54%2.98cote équitable
EV +0.626%
Avantage +0.209%
Kelly +0.313%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.13%33.60%33.57%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.25%35.09%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.626%E +0.209%K +0.313%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-12 23:39
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 23:40
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:39
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:39
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:29
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.39%E -0.822%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:40
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:39
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:39
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:40
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:39
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:29
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.31%E -1.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 23:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.40%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.40%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:40
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:38
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:39
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.29%E -6.01%K -21.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 23:30
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.97%E -2.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:39
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:40
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:32
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 23:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 23:40
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 23:38
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:40
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.64%E -1.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:40
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:39
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -8.09%E -2.95%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 23:40
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.44%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.44%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 23:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.54%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.46%0.0%2026-03-12 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-03-12 23:40
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-03-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-12 23:40
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-12 23:39
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-12 23:39
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-03-12 23:40
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-12 23:40