La escuela de los momios

Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks

Inicio: 2026-03-12 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Predicción 66.46%1.50momio equitativo
EV -0.313%
Ventaja -0.209%
Kelly -0.626%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.29%66.40%66.43%67.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.441.5072.46%69.66%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Bucks (Visitante)

Predicción 33.54%2.98momio equitativo
EV +0.626%
Ventaja +0.209%
Kelly +0.313%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.13%33.60%33.57%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.842.853.0037.04%35.25%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.626%E +0.209%K +0.313%G +0.002%3.8%2026-03-12 23:39
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 23:40
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:39
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 23:39
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -1.39%E -0.472%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:29
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.39%E -0.822%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:40
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:39
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:39
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:40
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 23:39
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:39
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 23:29
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 66.28%EV -2.31%E -1.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.72%EV -3.06%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-12 23:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.40%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.40%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -3.73%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 23:40
ReBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -4.07%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 23:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:39
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:38
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 23:39
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.29%E -6.01%K -21.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.41%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 23:30
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.97%E -2.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 23:39
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:40
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Codere (IT)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:32
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:39
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 23:40
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 23:40
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.75%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 23:38
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 23:40
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.64%E -1.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 23:40
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 23:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 23:39
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.76%E -2.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -8.09%E -2.95%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 23:40
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.313%E -0.209%K -0.626%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.44%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.44%E -3.49%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-12 23:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.54%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.46%0.0%2026-03-12 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-03-12 23:40
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-03-12 23:40
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-03-12 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-03-12 23:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-03-12 23:40
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-03-12 23:39
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-12 23:39
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-03-12 23:40
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-03-12 23:40