Language:English
Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 84.83%1.18fair odd
EV +0.100%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.555%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%84.45%84.89%86.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.121.1890.91%88.77%89.29%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brooklyn Nets (Visit)
Prediction 15.17%6.59fair odd
EV +9.98%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.159%
assuming max odds 7.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.17%15.55%15.11%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.856.206.157.2520.62%16.14%16.26%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 84.83%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 15.17%. For Brooklyn Nets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.59. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +9.98%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.159% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +7.70%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.097% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +3.15%E +0.464%K +0.544%G +0.017% | 4.0% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.68%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV +2.55%E +0.377%K +0.442%G +0.011% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.39%E +0.355%K +0.416%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.39%E +0.355%K +0.416%G +0.010% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.68%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 14.32%EV +0.726%E +0.109%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:32 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +0.270%E +0.041%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV -3.67%E -0.579%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.72%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.28%EV -4.13%E -0.653%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.19%E -0.830%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.95%E -0.960%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 00:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:37 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -2.44%E -2.13%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV +0.100%E +0.085%K +0.555%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -16.57%E -3.01%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -19.60%E -3.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.44%E -2.13%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.36%E -3.88%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -24.15%E -4.83%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.24%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.76%EV -26.43%E -5.45%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 00:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.93% | 8.38I 11.93%NM 12.07% | -1.1% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.31% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 00:40 |