مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets

البداية: 2026-03-06 00:42 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 84.83%1.18السعر العادل
EV +0.100%
الأفضلية +0.085%
Kelly +0.555%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
81.04%84.45%84.89%86.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.131.121.1890.91%88.77%89.29%84.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Brooklyn Nets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.17%6.59السعر العادل
EV +9.98%
الأفضلية +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
النمو +0.159%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.17%15.55%15.11%18.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.856.206.157.2520.62%16.14%16.26%13.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +9.98%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.159%4.7%2026-03-06 00:40
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +7.70%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.097%4.2%2026-03-06 00:40
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%4.4%2026-03-06 00:40
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%4.4%2026-03-06 00:38
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%5.2%2026-03-06 00:40
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%5.2%2026-03-06 00:40
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +3.15%E +0.464%K +0.544%G +0.017%4.0%2026-03-06 00:39
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.68%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV +2.55%E +0.377%K +0.442%G +0.011%3.3%2026-03-06 00:40
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.39%E +0.355%K +0.416%G +0.010%4.1%2026-03-06 00:40
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.39%E +0.355%K +0.416%G +0.010%4.9%2026-03-06 00:40
MyBookie.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 85.68%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.32%EV +0.726%E +0.109%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.2%2026-03-06 00:32
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +0.270%E +0.041%K +0.048%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 00:29
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:40
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:40
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:39
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:39
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:39
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 00:39
William Hill1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:39
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:40
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV -3.67%E -0.579%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 00:29
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 84.72%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.28%EV -4.13%E -0.653%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 00:39
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.19%E -0.830%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:40
Codere (IT)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.95%E -0.960%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:31
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 00:40
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 00:40
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 00:40
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:40
Sky Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:39
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:40
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:40
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 00:38
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:31
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:37
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:40
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:40
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:40
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 00:40
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -2.44%E -2.13%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 00:40
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:40
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:40
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV +0.100%E +0.085%K +0.555%G +0.001%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-06 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-06 00:40
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -16.57%E -3.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 00:40
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -19.60%E -3.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.44%E -2.13%K -16.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.36%E -3.88%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -24.15%E -4.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.24%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.76%EV -26.43%E -5.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 00:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.93%8.38I 11.93%NM 12.07%-1.1%2026-03-06 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%0.5%2026-03-06 00:40
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-06 00:40
ProphetX1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-03-06 00:40
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-06 00:40
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 86.31%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.69%1.6%2026-03-06 00:40
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%2.4%2026-03-06 00:40