Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets

Início: 2026-03-06 00:42 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

85%

15%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Heat (Local)

Previsão 84.83%1.18odd justa

EV +0.100%

Vantagem +0.085%

Kelly +0.555%

Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

81.04%84.45%84.89%86.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.101.131.121.1890.91%88.77%89.29%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visitante)

Previsão 15.17%6.59odd justa

EV +9.98%

Vantagem +1.38%

Kelly +1.60%

Crescimento +0.159%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

13.17%15.55%15.11%18.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

4.856.206.157.2520.62%16.14%16.26%13.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Heat (Local): 84.83%; Brooklyn Nets (Visitante): 15.17%. Para Brooklyn Nets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.59. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +9.98%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante ▼	Margem	Atualização
Fliff🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +9.98%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.159%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:40
FanDuel🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +7.70%E +1.09%K +1.26%G +0.097%	4.2%	2026-03-06 00:40
SportsBet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%	4.4%	2026-03-06 00:40
Caesars🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%	4.4%	2026-03-06 00:38
NordicBet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%	5.2%	2026-03-06 00:40
Betsson🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.19%E +0.884%K +1.03%G +0.064%	5.2%	2026-03-06 00:40
Coolbet🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV +3.15%E +0.464%K +0.544%G +0.017%	4.0%	2026-03-06 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 85.68%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	6.76I 14.79%NM 14.32%EV +2.55%E +0.377%K +0.442%G +0.011%	3.3%	2026-03-06 00:40
BetAnything🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +2.39%E +0.355%K +0.416%G +0.010%	4.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +2.39%E +0.355%K +0.416%G +0.010%	4.9%	2026-03-06 00:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.68%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.64I 15.06%NM 14.32%EV +0.726%E +0.109%K +0.129%G +0.001%	5.2%	2026-03-06 00:32
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV +0.270%E +0.041%K +0.048%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-06 00:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-03-06 00:29
DraftKings🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:40
Fanatics🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:40
GTbets🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:39
BetMGM🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:39
BetUS🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:39
Everygame🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-06 00:39
William Hill🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-06 00:40
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-06 00:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-06 00:40
Paddy Power🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-06 00:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.69%E -6.08%K -66.86%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -1.40%E -0.215%K -0.254%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-06 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.89%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	6.35I 15.75%NM 15.11%EV -3.67%E -0.579%K -0.687%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-03-06 00:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.72%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	6.32I 15.82%NM 15.28%EV -4.13%E -0.653%K -0.776%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-06 00:39
Bet Right🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -5.19%E -0.830%K -0.989%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-06 00:40
Codere (IT)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -5.95%E -0.960%K -1.14%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-06 00:31
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -7.47%E -1.22%K -1.46%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
TAB🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-06 00:40
Sky Bet🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-06 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-06 00:40
Neds🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-06 00:40
Bovada🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-06 00:38
BoyleSports🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-06 00:31
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-06 00:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-06 00:40
Coral🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.84%E -5.26%K -53.07%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.98%E -1.50%K -1.80%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-06 00:40
TABtouch🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 00:40
betPARX🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 00:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -12.02%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-06 00:40
PlayUp🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -2.44%E -2.13%K -16.30%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-06 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.14%E -3.67%K -31.86%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.78%E -2.22%K -2.69%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-06 00:40
Bet Victor🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV +0.100%E +0.085%K +0.555%G +0.001%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-03-06 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-06 00:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -15.05%E -2.69%K -3.27%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-06 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -16.57%E -3.01%K -3.68%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-06 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -3.29%E -2.89%K -23.52%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -19.60%E -3.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-06 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -2.44%E -2.13%K -16.30%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -20.36%E -3.88%K -4.79%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-06 00:40
Betway🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -0.748%E -0.640%K -4.40%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -24.15%E -4.83%K -6.04%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-06 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.24%EV -4.99%E -4.46%K -41.58%G +0.000%	4.85I 20.62%NM 18.76%EV -26.43%E -5.45%K -6.86%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-03-06 00:39

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
BetOpenly◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 87.93%	8.38I 11.93%NM 12.07%	-1.1%	2026-03-06 00:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.55%	7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%	0.5%	2026-03-06 00:40
Matchbook◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%	7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%	0.8%	2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%	7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%	0.8%	2026-03-06 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%	7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%	0.8%	2026-03-06 00:40
ProphetX◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%	7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%	0.8%	2026-03-06 00:40
Kalshi◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%	7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%	1.0%	2026-03-06 00:40
Polymarket◎	1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%	7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%	1.0%	2026-03-06 00:40
Novig◎	1.14I 87.72%NM 86.31%	7.19I 13.91%NM 13.69%	1.6%	2026-03-06 00:40
Smarkets◎	1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43%	7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%	2.4%	2026-03-06 00:40