Language:English
Los Angeles Lakers v New Orleans Pelicans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Lakers (Local)
Prediction 73.58%1.36fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -6.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.46%73.67%73.62%75.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3380.00%77.33%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)
Prediction 26.42%3.78fair odd
EV +0.410%
Edge +0.108%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%26.33%26.38%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.423.623.603.8029.24%27.64%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 73.58%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 26.42%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.410%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 03:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 03:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.911%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 03:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -1.97%E -0.530%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -4.08%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 03:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 03:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 03:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 03:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 03:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 03:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.14%E -1.61%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 03:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 03:38 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 03:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.92%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 03:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 03:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 03:40 |