Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Lakers v New Orleans Pelicans

Início: 2026-03-04 03:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Previsão 73.58%1.36odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -6.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.46%73.67%73.62%75.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.291.301.3380.00%77.33%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Previsão 26.42%3.78odd justa
EV +0.410%
Vantagem +0.108%
Kelly +0.147%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.75%26.33%26.38%27.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.423.623.603.8029.24%27.64%27.78%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 73.58%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante): 26.42%. Para New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.78. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.410%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.2%2026-03-04 03:39
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%5.1%2026-03-04 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%6.3%2026-03-04 03:33
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.911%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 03:39
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -1.97%E -0.530%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 03:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:40
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 03:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 03:40
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 03:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 03:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -4.08%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 03:40
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 03:40
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 03:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 03:40
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 03:39
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 03:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:30
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:38
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:40
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:40
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:40
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 03:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 03:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 03:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 03:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 03:40
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.14%E -1.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 03:40
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 03:40
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 03:40
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 03:40
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 03:40
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 03:40
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 03:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 03:38
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 03:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 03:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.92%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 03:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%0.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-03-04 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-03-04 03:40
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58%1.2%2026-03-04 03:29
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-04 03:40
ProphetX1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-03-04 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-03-04 03:40
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-03-04 03:40