Los Angeles Lakers v New Orleans Pelicans

Inicio: 2026-03-04 03:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (23 en el análisis )

74%

26%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 73.58%1.36momio equitativo

EV -2.14%

Ventaja -1.61%

Kelly -6.50%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

72.46%73.67%73.62%75.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.251.291.301.3380.00%77.33%76.92%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New Orleans Pelicans (Visitante)

Predicción 26.42%3.78momio equitativo

EV +0.410%

Ventaja +0.108%

Kelly +0.147%

Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

24.75%26.33%26.38%27.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

3.423.623.603.8029.24%27.64%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Bet Victor	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%	3.2%	2026-03-04 03:39
BetMGM	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%	3.8%	2026-03-04 03:40
Fliff	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-03-04 03:40
Bet Right	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%	5.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Tipico (DE)	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.410%E +0.108%K +0.147%G +0.001%	6.3%	2026-03-04 03:33
Winamax (DE)	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.911%E -0.243%K -0.331%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-04 03:39
Pinnacle	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000%	3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -1.97%E -0.530%K -0.726%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-03-04 03:39
Unibet (UK)	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
SportsBet	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
Coolbet	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:39
Unibet (NL)	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet (SE)	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
Everygame	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:39
Svenska Spel	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
ATG (SE)	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
Bovada	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-04 03:40
Coral	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.23%E -0.603%K -0.827%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-04 03:40
FanDuel	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
Betr (AU)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.55%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-04 03:40
LowVig.ag	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000%	3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV -4.08%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
DraftKings	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-04 03:40
GTbets	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-04 03:39
BetOnline.ag	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-04 03:40
BetUS	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-04 03:39
theScore Bet	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-04 03:40
Neds	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Codere (IT)	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:30
Caesars	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:38
TABtouch	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Bally Bet	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
betPARX	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Winamax (FR)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
PointsBet (AU)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
888sport	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:29
LiveScore Bet	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
Virgin Bet	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
BetRivers	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
Fanatics	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
888sport (SE)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:29
Mr Green (SE)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-03-04 03:29
Dabble (AU)	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-04 03:40
NetBet (FR)	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.03%E -6.42%K -32.12%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-04 03:30
Marathon Bet	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-04 03:29
MyBookie.ag	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -5.93%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-03-04 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
PlayUp	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.14%E -1.61%K -6.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-04 03:40
TAB	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -2.88%E -2.18%K -9.00%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
BetAnything	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.66%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-03-04 03:40
Betsson	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-04 03:40
NordicBet	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.35%E -3.35%K -14.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-03-04 03:40
Paddy Power	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-04 03:40
BoyleSports	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-04 03:30
Betway	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.09%E -3.94%K -17.54%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-04 03:40
Unibet (FR)	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.82%E -4.55%K -20.79%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-04 03:38
LeoVegas	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
Hard Rock Bet	1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.56%E -5.16%K -24.29%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-04 03:38
Betclic (FR)	1.26I 79.37%NM 73.08%EV -7.29%E -5.79%K -28.05%G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24%NM 26.92%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -3.98%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-03-04 03:38

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%	3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%	0.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Kalshi	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%	0.8%	2026-03-04 03:40
Polymarket	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%	0.8%	2026-03-04 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%	0.8%	2026-03-04 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.2%	2026-03-04 03:40
BetOpenly	1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42%	4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58%	1.2%	2026-03-04 03:29
Matchbook	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%	1.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
ProphetX	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%	1.3%	2026-03-04 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%	1.7%	2026-03-04 03:40
Smarkets	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%	2.4%	2026-03-04 03:40