Language:English
Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Houston Rockets (Local)
Prediction 79.11%1.26fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -11.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.22%79.07%78.97%81.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.201.201.2386.96%83.33%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 20.89%4.79fair odd
EV +8.01%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 5.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.97%20.93%21.03%22.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.584.505.1725.00%21.85%22.22%19.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Rockets (Local): 79.11%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 20.89%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.03%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.97%EV +8.01%E +1.55%K +1.92%G +0.154% | 2.0% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.46%E +0.892%K +1.12%G +0.050% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.46%E +0.892%K +1.12%G +0.050% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +3.42%E +0.690%K +0.865%G +0.030% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +1.33%E +0.274%K +0.345%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.284%E +0.059%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 01:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-10 18:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.85%E -0.613%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.85%E -0.613%K -0.781%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -3.06%E -0.659%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 00:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.44%E -6.36%K -43.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -4.31%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 01:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 14:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -6.40%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 01:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -8.24%E -7.10%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 01:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.03%E -7.85%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -10.16%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.43%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 01:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.87% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 20.13% | 0.2% | 2026-04-11 01:23 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 01:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 01:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 01:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 01:35 |