L’École des cotes

Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 01:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Houston Rockets (Local)

Prévision 79.11%1.26cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -11.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.22%79.07%78.97%81.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.201.2386.96%83.33%83.33%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.89%4.79cote équitable
EV +8.01%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 5.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.97%20.93%21.03%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.584.505.1725.00%21.85%22.22%19.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 81.03%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.97%EV +8.01%E +1.55%K +1.92%G +0.154%2.0%2026-04-10 23:00
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.46%E +0.892%K +1.12%G +0.050%4.7%2026-04-11 01:30
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.46%E +0.892%K +1.12%G +0.050%4.7%2026-04-11 01:25
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +3.42%E +0.690%K +0.865%G +0.030%4.2%2026-04-11 01:30
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +1.33%E +0.274%K +0.345%G +0.005%4.0%2026-04-11 01:30
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.284%E +0.059%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:30
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:30
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:30
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:35
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:00
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:00
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:15
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:05
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:19
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.85%E -0.613%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:20
Everygame1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.85%E -0.613%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:05
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -3.06%E -0.659%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 01:35
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 01:35
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:27
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:35
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 00:39
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.44%E -6.36%K -43.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -4.31%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:29
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:55
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:20
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:35
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 01:15
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 01:20
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:10
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:10
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:10
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 14:10
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:15
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:30
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:20
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 01:30
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 01:30
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 01:35
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 01:30
MyBookie.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -6.40%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 01:29
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 01:35
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 01:23
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 01:30
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -8.24%E -7.10%K -51.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 01:30
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:29
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:55
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:35
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 01:35
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.03%E -7.85%K -60.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -10.16%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 01:30
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.43%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 01:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 79.87%4.96I 20.16%NM 20.13%0.2%2026-04-11 01:23
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-11 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-11 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-04-11 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-04-11 01:30
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.3%2026-04-11 01:20
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-04-11 01:15
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-04-11 01:15
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.8%2026-04-11 01:35
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-04-11 01:35