La escuela de los momios

Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-04-11 01:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Houston Rockets (Local)

Predicción 79.11%1.26momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -11.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.22%79.07%78.97%81.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.201.201.2386.96%83.33%83.33%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 20.89%4.79momio equitativo
EV +8.01%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.154%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.97%20.93%21.03%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.584.505.1725.00%21.85%22.22%19.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 81.03%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.97%EV +8.01%E +1.55%K +1.92%G +0.154%2.0%2026-04-10 23:00
Fliff1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.46%E +0.892%K +1.12%G +0.050%4.7%2026-04-11 01:30
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.46%E +0.892%K +1.12%G +0.050%4.7%2026-04-11 01:25
SportsBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV +3.42%E +0.690%K +0.865%G +0.030%4.2%2026-04-11 01:30
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +1.33%E +0.274%K +0.345%G +0.005%4.0%2026-04-11 01:30
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +0.284%E +0.059%K +0.075%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:30
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:30
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:30
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:35
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.761%E -0.160%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 01:30
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:00
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:00
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 01:15
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 01:05
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:19
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.81%E -0.384%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.85%E -0.613%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:20
Everygame1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.85%E -0.613%K -0.781%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:05
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -3.06%E -0.659%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 01:35
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 01:35
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:27
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 01:35
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 00:39
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.44%E -6.36%K -43.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.89%E -0.847%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 01:30
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -4.31%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-11 01:35
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 01:30
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:29
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 00:55
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:20
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 01:35
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 01:15
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 01:20
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:10
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:10
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:09
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 17:10
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-10 14:10
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:15
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:30
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 01:20
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 01:30
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.86%E -4.93%K -30.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 01:30
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 01:30
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 01:35
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.98%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 01:30
MyBookie.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 78.73%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.27%EV -6.40%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 01:29
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 01:35
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 01:23
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.49%E -2.86%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 01:30
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -8.24%E -7.10%K -51.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.07%E -1.83%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 01:30
Marathon Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.88%EV -2.70%E -2.19%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.12%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 01:29
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:55
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 00:35
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.07%E -4.23%K -25.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 01:35
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 78.90%EV -9.03%E -7.85%K -60.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -10.16%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.28%E -3.54%K -20.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -12.25%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 01:30
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.65%E -5.64%K -36.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -16.43%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 01:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 79.87%4.96I 20.16%NM 20.13%0.2%2026-04-11 01:23
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-11 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-04-11 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-04-11 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-04-11 01:30
ProphetX1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.3%2026-04-11 01:20
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-04-11 01:15
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-04-11 01:15
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.8%2026-04-11 01:35
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-04-11 01:35