Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors v San Antonio Spurs

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 12.87%7.77fair odd
EV +15.79%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.312%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.63%13.07%12.87%16.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.757.337.509.0017.39%13.64%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Antonio Spurs (Visit)

Prediction 87.13%1.15fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -11.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.94%86.93%87.13%89.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1394.34%91.26%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 12.87%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 87.13%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.77. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +15.79%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.312%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.77%E -6.32%K -96.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Coolbet🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +11.93%E +1.37%K +1.55%G +0.185%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:04
BetAnything🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.36%E +1.10%K +1.25%G +0.117%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +7.17%E +0.861%K +0.978%G +0.070%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +4.08%E +0.505%K +0.576%G +0.024%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Everygame🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:04
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Fliff🎯7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +1.64%E +0.207%K +0.237%G +0.004%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:05
GTbets🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.352%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:04
BetUS🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.352%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:04
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.291%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.934%E -0.121%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 01:59
ReBet🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.934%E -0.121%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 01:59
FanDuel🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -2.22%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:05
MyBookie.ag🎯7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.86%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 01:58
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 02:05
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:04
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.64%E -7.21%K -127.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 02:00
Pinnacle🎯7.49I 13.35%NM 12.91%EV -3.64%E -0.485%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.09%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -4.79%E -0.648%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 02:01
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 02:04
Marathon Bet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -8.65%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:00
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:04
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:04
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:01
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Dabble (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 02:05
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 02:00
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:04
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 02:05
LeoVegas🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -7.64%E -7.21%K -127.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 02:05
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -19.59%E -3.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 02:05
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.81%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.81%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Betclic (FR)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -26.02%E -4.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 02:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly8.74I 11.44%NM 11.45%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.55%-0.1%2026-04-02 01:59
Novig8.13I 12.30%NM 12.30%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.70%0.0%2026-04-02 02:05
ProphetX8.10I 12.35%NM 12.34%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.66%0.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-04-02 02:05
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Polymarket8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%1.5%2026-04-02 02:05
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-04-02 02:05