L’École des cotes

Golden State Warriors v San Antonio Spurs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prévision 12.87%7.77cote équitable
EV +15.79%
Avantage +1.75%
Kelly +1.97%
Croissance +0.312%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.63%13.07%12.87%16.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.757.337.509.0017.39%13.64%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Antonio Spurs (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.13%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.54%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -11.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.94%86.93%87.13%89.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.101.101.1394.34%91.26%90.91%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +15.79%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.312%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.77%E -6.32%K -96.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Coolbet8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +11.93%E +1.37%K +1.55%G +0.185%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:04
BetAnything8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.36%E +1.10%K +1.25%G +0.117%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:05
LowVig.ag8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +7.17%E +0.861%K +0.978%G +0.070%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:05
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +4.08%E +0.505%K +0.576%G +0.024%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:04
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:04
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Fliff7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +1.64%E +0.207%K +0.237%G +0.004%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:05
GTbets7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.352%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:04
BetUS7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.352%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:04
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.291%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 02:04
Unibet (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.934%E -0.121%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 01:59
ReBet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.934%E -0.121%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 01:59
FanDuel7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -2.22%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:05
MyBookie.ag7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.86%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 01:58
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 02:05
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:04
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:05
NetBet (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.64%E -7.21%K -127.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 02:00
Pinnacle7.49I 13.35%NM 12.91%EV -3.64%E -0.485%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.09%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 02:05
Codere (IT)7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -4.79%E -0.648%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 02:01
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 02:04
Marathon Bet7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -8.65%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:00
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:04
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:04
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:01
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:04
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 02:05
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 02:00
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:04
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 02:05
LeoVegas6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -7.64%E -7.21%K -127.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 02:05
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -19.59%E -3.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 02:05
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.81%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.81%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -26.02%E -4.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 02:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly8.74I 11.44%NM 11.45%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.55%-0.1%2026-04-02 01:59
Novig8.13I 12.30%NM 12.30%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.70%0.0%2026-04-02 02:05
ProphetX8.10I 12.35%NM 12.34%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.66%0.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-04-02 02:05
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Polymarket8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%1.5%2026-04-02 02:05
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-04-02 02:05