La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-04-02 02:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 12.87%7.77momio equitativo
EV +15.79%
Ventaja +1.75%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.312%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.63%13.07%12.87%16.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.757.337.509.0017.39%13.64%13.33%11.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 87.13%1.15momio equitativo
EV -1.54%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -11.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.94%86.93%87.13%89.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.101.101.1394.34%91.26%90.91%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +15.79%E +1.75%K +1.97%G +0.312%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.77%E -6.32%K -96.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Coolbet8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +11.93%E +1.37%K +1.55%G +0.185%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:04
BetAnything8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +9.36%E +1.10%K +1.25%G +0.117%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:05
LowVig.ag8.33I 12.00%NM 11.57%EV +7.17%E +0.861%K +0.978%G +0.070%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.43%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:05
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +4.08%E +0.505%K +0.576%G +0.024%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:04
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:04
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +2.93%E +0.366%K +0.418%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Fliff7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV +1.64%E +0.207%K +0.237%G +0.004%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:05
GTbets7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.352%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:04
BetUS7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.352%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-02 02:04
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -0.291%E -0.038%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 02:04
Unibet (FR)7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.934%E -0.121%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 01:59
ReBet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.934%E -0.121%K -0.139%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.50%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-02 01:59
FanDuel7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -2.22%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 02:05
MyBookie.ag7.55I 13.25%NM 12.62%EV -2.86%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.38%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 01:58
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -2.41%E -2.15%K -20.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Winamax (DE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 02:05
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:04
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 02:05
NetBet (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.51%E -0.468%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.64%E -7.21%K -127.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 02:00
Pinnacle7.49I 13.35%NM 12.91%EV -3.64%E -0.485%K -0.560%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.09%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 02:05
Codere (IT)7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -4.79%E -0.648%K -0.749%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 02:01
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV -7.37%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 02:04
Marathon Bet7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -8.65%E -1.22%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 02:00
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:04
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 02:04
Unibet (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:01
BetRivers7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:04
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
TABtouch7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Dabble (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 02:05
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.94%E -1.42%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.89%E -5.46%K -73.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 02:00
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.28%E -2.96%K -29.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Hard Rock Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 02:04
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.02%E -4.61%K -55.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 02:05
LeoVegas6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -16.37%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -7.64%E -7.21%K -127.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 02:05
PlayUp6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -19.59%E -3.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-02 02:05
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.81%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -22.81%E -3.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -1.54%E -1.36%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Betclic (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -26.02%E -4.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -4.15%E -3.77%K -41.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly8.74I 11.44%NM 11.45%1.13I 88.50%NM 88.55%-0.1%2026-04-02 01:59
Novig8.13I 12.30%NM 12.30%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.70%0.0%2026-04-02 02:05
ProphetX8.10I 12.35%NM 12.34%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.66%0.1%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%0.9%2026-04-02 02:05
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%1.2%2026-04-02 02:05
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Polymarket8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-04-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.80I 11.36%NM 11.20%1.11I 90.09%NM 88.80%1.5%2026-04-02 02:05
Smarkets8.60I 11.63%NM 11.34%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.66%2.5%2026-04-02 02:05