Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 02:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 87.62%1.14fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -24.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.41%87.53%87.72%89.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.70%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 12.38%8.08fair odd
EV +10.77%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.146%

assuming max odds 8.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.68%12.47%12.28%14.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.407.537.508.9515.63%13.28%13.33%11.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 87.62%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 12.38%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.08. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +10.77%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%4.6%2026-04-08 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.20%E +0.612%K +0.693%G +0.036%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.20%E +0.612%K +0.693%G +0.036%6.1%2026-04-08 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.11%E +0.255%K +0.291%G +0.006%4.7%2026-04-08 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV +1.36%E +0.167%K +0.190%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-08 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +0.250%E +0.031%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 02:09
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:08
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Caesars🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.78%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV -2.23%E -0.282%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 01:59
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV -2.23%E -0.282%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -2.72%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:09
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -3.46%E -0.444%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -3.46%E -0.444%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 02:09
Everygame🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 02:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -5.94%E -0.781%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -5.94%E -0.781%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 02:01
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:09
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:09
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.74%E -2.47%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -16.46%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.74%E -2.47%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -20.79%E -3.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 89.29%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.71%0.9%2026-04-08 01:59
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-08 02:02
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-04-08 02:10
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.42%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.58%1.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.12%9.01I 11.10%NM 10.88%2.0%2026-04-08 02:10
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-04-08 02:10