La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Sacramento Kings

Inicio: 2026-04-08 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 87.62%1.14momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -24.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
85.41%87.53%87.72%89.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.70%91.74%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sacramento Kings (Visitante)

Predicción 12.38%8.08momio equitativo
EV +10.77%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.146%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.68%12.47%12.28%14.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.407.537.508.9515.63%13.28%13.33%11.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +10.77%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%4.6%2026-04-08 02:09
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.20%E +0.612%K +0.693%G +0.036%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.20%E +0.612%K +0.693%G +0.036%6.1%2026-04-08 02:09
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.11%E +0.255%K +0.291%G +0.006%4.7%2026-04-08 02:09
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV +1.36%E +0.167%K +0.190%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-08 02:09
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +0.250%E +0.031%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 02:00
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 02:09
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:09
PointsBet (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:08
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Caesars1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
BetAnything1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Hard Rock Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Neds1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Dabble (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.78%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV -2.23%E -0.282%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 01:59
ReBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV -2.23%E -0.282%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -2.72%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:09
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -3.46%E -0.444%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 02:09
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -3.46%E -0.444%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:59
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 02:09
Everygame1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 02:09
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 02:00
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -5.94%E -0.781%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Codere (IT)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -5.94%E -0.781%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 02:01
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:09
Bovada1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:09
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.74%E -2.47%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 02:00
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 02:10
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -16.46%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.74%E -2.47%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 02:09
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:09
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 02:09
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -20.79%E -3.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 89.29%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.71%0.9%2026-04-08 01:59
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-08 02:02
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-04-08 02:10
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.42%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.58%1.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.12%9.01I 11.10%NM 10.88%2.0%2026-04-08 02:10
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-04-08 02:10