Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Golden State Warriors v Sacramento Kings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 02:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prévision 87.62%1.14cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -24.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.41%87.53%87.72%89.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.091.1194.34%91.70%91.74%90.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.38%8.08cote équitable
EV +10.77%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.35%
Croissance +0.146%

avec la cote maximale 8.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.68%12.47%12.28%14.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.407.537.508.9515.63%13.28%13.33%11.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Golden State Warriors (Local) : 87.62% ; Sacramento Kings (Visiteur) : 12.38%. Pour Sacramento Kings (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.08. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.95, soit une espérance positive de +10.77%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV +10.77%E +1.20%K +1.35%G +0.146%4.6%2026-04-08 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.20%E +0.612%K +0.693%G +0.036%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.20%E +0.612%K +0.693%G +0.036%6.1%2026-04-08 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.11%E +0.255%K +0.291%G +0.006%4.7%2026-04-08 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.16%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV +1.36%E +0.167%K +0.190%G +0.003%3.1%2026-04-08 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +0.250%E +0.031%K +0.035%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.02%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.08I 12.38%NM 11.98%EV +0.002%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-08 02:09
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:08
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Caesars🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.24%E -5.83%K -89.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.988%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.78%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV -2.23%E -0.282%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 01:59
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV -2.23%E -0.282%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.72%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 12.28%EV -2.72%E -0.346%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 02:09
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV -3.46%E -0.444%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -3.46%E -0.444%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 01:59
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 02:09
Everygame🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 02:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -4.08%E -0.527%K -0.605%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 02:00
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -5.94%E -0.781%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 02:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -5.94%E -0.781%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 02:01
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:09
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 02:09
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.18%E -0.957%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 01:59
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.74%E -2.47%K -24.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:09
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.49%E -4.12%K -49.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-08 02:09
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.36%E -1.91%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -16.46%E -2.44%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 02:09
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.74%E -2.47%K -24.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-08 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.61%E -3.29%K -36.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.37%E -4.97%K -67.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.55%E -3.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 85.79%EV -7.12%E -6.72%K -118.65%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -20.79%E -3.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 02:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-04-08 02:10
BetOpenly1.11I 90.09%NM 89.29%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.71%0.9%2026-04-08 01:59
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-04-08 02:02
Kalshi1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.1%2026-04-08 02:10
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 89.42%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.58%1.7%2026-04-08 02:10
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.12%9.01I 11.10%NM 10.88%2.0%2026-04-08 02:10
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-04-08 02:10