Language:English
Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Warriors (Local)
Prediction 35.85%2.79fair odd
EV +3.97%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%35.69%35.82%37.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.672.652.9039.22%37.41%37.74%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 64.15%1.56fair odd
EV +0.073%
Edge +0.047%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.04%64.31%64.18%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.33%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 35.85%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 64.15%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +3.97%E +1.37%K +2.09%G +0.083% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.97%E +1.37%K +2.09%G +0.083% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.19%E -7.28%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 01:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +3.61%E +1.25%K +1.91%G +0.069% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.18%E +0.763%K +1.18%G +0.026% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.27%E -5.78%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.383%E +0.137%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.19%E -7.28%K -25.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 01:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.98%E -4.82%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.49%E -0.914%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.13%E -2.08%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.49%E -0.914%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 01:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 02:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 01:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.92%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -1.85%E -1.21%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.92%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.28%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 02:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 01:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.13%E -2.08%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 02:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 02:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.98%E -4.82%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -7.50%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.073%E +0.047%K +0.130%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 01:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 02:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.27%E -5.78%K -19.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 02:03 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.81I 35.59%NM 35.40% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.60% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 01:59 |