L’École des cotes

Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prévision 35.85%2.79cote équitable
EV +3.97%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.083%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.56%35.69%35.82%37.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.672.652.9039.22%37.41%37.74%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.15%1.56cote équitable
EV +0.073%
Avantage +0.047%
Kelly +0.130%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.04%64.31%64.18%67.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.33%67.11%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +3.97%E +1.37%K +2.09%G +0.083%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 01:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.97%E +1.37%K +2.09%G +0.083%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.19%E -7.28%K -25.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 01:40
ReBet2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +3.61%E +1.25%K +1.91%G +0.069%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 01:45
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.18%E +0.763%K +1.18%G +0.026%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.27%E -5.78%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:45
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.383%E +0.137%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.19%E -7.28%K -25.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:44
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-14 00:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 01:54
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 02:05
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.98%E -4.82%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:05
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.49%E -0.914%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.13%E -2.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 02:05
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.49%E -0.914%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 02:05
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 01:45
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:00
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:04
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:55
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:54
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:05
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 02:05
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:55
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 02:04
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.92%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -1.85%E -1.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 02:05
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.92%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 01:54
MyBookie.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.28%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:54
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 01:59
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 02:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 01:54
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 02:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 02:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:55
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 02:00
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:00
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:04
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:53
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:54
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.13%E -2.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 02:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:54
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 02:04
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 01:54
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 02:00
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 02:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:55
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 01:59
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.98%E -4.82%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:59
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 01:55
Unibet (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -7.50%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 02:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.073%E +0.047%K +0.130%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 02:05
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:55
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 02:05
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 02:04
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.27%E -5.78%K -19.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 02:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-03-14 02:05
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-14 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-14 02:05
Novig2.81I 35.59%NM 35.40%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.60%0.5%2026-03-14 02:05
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-03-14 02:05
BetOpenly2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%4.6%2026-03-14 01:59