La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-03-14 02:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 35.85%2.79momio equitativo
EV +3.97%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +2.09%
Crecimiento +0.083%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.56%35.69%35.82%37.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.672.652.9039.22%37.41%37.74%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 64.15%1.56momio equitativo
EV +0.073%
Ventaja +0.047%
Kelly +0.130%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.04%64.31%64.18%67.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.33%67.11%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +3.97%E +1.37%K +2.09%G +0.083%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 01:45
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +3.97%E +1.37%K +2.09%G +0.083%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -10.19%E -7.28%K -25.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 01:40
ReBet2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV +3.61%E +1.25%K +1.91%G +0.069%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 01:45
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.18%E +0.763%K +1.18%G +0.026%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.27%E -5.78%K -19.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:45
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.383%E +0.137%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.19%E -7.28%K -25.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:44
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 35.51%EV -1.05%E -0.381%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.49%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-14 00:50
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 01:54
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 02:05
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.41%E -0.513%K -0.806%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.98%E -4.82%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:05
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV -2.49%E -0.914%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -3.13%E -2.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 02:05
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -2.49%E -0.914%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 02:05
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.32%EV -2.84%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.68%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 01:45
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:55
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:59
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:00
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:04
GTbets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:55
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:54
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 02:05
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 02:05
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:50
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:55
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.20%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 02:04
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -3.92%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -1.85%E -1.21%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 02:05
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.92%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-14 01:54
MyBookie.ag2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.28%E -1.60%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:54
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 01:59
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 02:00
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 01:54
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 02:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 02:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:55
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 02:00
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:00
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:55
Dabble (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:04
Betway2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.00%E -1.88%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 02:00
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:53
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.71%E -2.17%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:54
Caesars2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.13%E -2.08%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 02:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -6.07%E -2.32%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 01:54
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 02:04
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 01:54
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 02:00
Hard Rock Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 02:05
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.06%E -3.42%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 01:55
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 01:59
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.98%E -4.82%K -15.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:59
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.79%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 01:55
Unibet (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -7.50%E -2.91%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -5.70%E -3.88%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 02:00
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV +0.073%E +0.047%K +0.130%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 02:05
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.49%E -1.64%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 01:55
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 02:05
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 02:04
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.58%E -3.36%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.27%E -5.78%K -19.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 02:03
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-03-14 02:05
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-14 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-14 02:05
Novig2.81I 35.59%NM 35.40%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.60%0.5%2026-03-14 02:05
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-03-14 02:05
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-03-14 02:05
BetOpenly2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%4.6%2026-03-14 01:59