The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 01:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 40.38%2.48fair odd
EV +0.944%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.630%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.12%40.38%40.26%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.372.382.5045.05%42.19%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Lakers (Visit)

Prediction 59.62%1.68fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.984%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.62%59.74%61.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.81%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 40.38%; Los Angeles Lakers (Visit): 59.62%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.944%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.944%E +0.378%K +0.630%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:37
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:34
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 01:39
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.78%E -5.74%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -1.88%E -0.774%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 01:29
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.29%E -0.945%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:40
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:38
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:38
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 01:39
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 01:39
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.78%E -5.74%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:39
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:40
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 01:31
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:40
Bet Victor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.62%E -0.984%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.62%E -0.984%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 01:28
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 01:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 01:39
888sport🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 01:31
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 01:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:29
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:40
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 01:34
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -10.36%E -4.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 01:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Novig◎2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%0.8%2026-03-01 01:40
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 01:40
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 01:39
ProphetX◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-01 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-03-01 01:29
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-03-01 01:39