La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers

Inicio: 2026-03-01 01:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 40.38%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.944%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.630%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.12%40.38%40.26%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.372.382.5045.05%42.19%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Lakers (Visitante)

Predicción 59.62%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.62%
Ventaja -0.984%
Kelly -2.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.62%59.74%61.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.81%62.89%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.944%E +0.378%K +0.630%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:37
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:34
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 01:39
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.78%E -5.74%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -1.88%E -0.774%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 01:29
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.29%E -0.945%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:38
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:38
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 01:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 01:39
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.78%E -5.74%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:39
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:40
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
MyBookie.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 01:31
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:40
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.62%E -0.984%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.62%E -0.984%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 01:40
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 01:28
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 01:40
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 01:39
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 01:39
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 01:31
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 01:30
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:29
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:40
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:39
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 01:30
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 01:34
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -10.36%E -4.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 01:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%0.8%2026-03-01 01:40
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 01:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 01:39
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-01 01:40
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-03-01 01:29
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-03-01 01:39