L’École des cotes

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Lakers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 01:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prévision 40.38%2.48cote équitable
EV +0.944%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.630%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.12%40.38%40.26%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.372.382.5045.05%42.19%42.02%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Los Angeles Lakers (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.62%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.984%
Kelly -2.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%59.62%59.74%61.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.591.591.6565.36%62.81%62.89%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.944%E +0.378%K +0.630%G +0.006%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -8.18%E -5.31%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:37
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:34
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 01:39
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.07%E -0.439%K -0.741%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.78%E -5.74%K -16.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -1.88%E -0.774%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-01 01:29
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -2.29%E -0.945%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.69%E -1.12%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.22%E -1.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:38
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:38
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:39
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 01:40
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 01:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 01:39
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.09%E -1.29%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.78%E -5.74%K -16.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 01:39
BetUS2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:40
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 01:39
MyBookie.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 01:31
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.90%E -1.64%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:39
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.82%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 01:40
Bet Victor2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.62%E -0.984%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.62%E -0.984%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 01:39
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.82%E -1.73%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 01:40
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 01:28
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 01:40
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 01:39
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 01:39
888sport2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Mr Green (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
888sport (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.11%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.07%K -11.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:29
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 01:31
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -6.32%E -2.73%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 01:39
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 01:30
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.01%E -2.49%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 01:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:29
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:40
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.60%E -2.88%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 01:39
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.20%E -3.27%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 01:39
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 01:39
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.13%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.59%E -4.89%K -13.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 01:30
Unibet (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.80%E -3.67%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 01:34
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.15%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.41%E -2.11%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 01:40
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -10.36%E -4.67%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -6.99%E -4.48%K -12.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 01:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-03-01 01:40
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 39.52%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.48%0.8%2026-03-01 01:40
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 01:40
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-03-01 01:39
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-03-01 01:40
BetOpenly2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%1.6%2026-03-01 01:29
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-03-01 01:39