Language:English
Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 46.40%2.15fair odd
EV -0.230%
Edge -0.107%
Kelly -0.200%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%46.33%46.39%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.062.052.1551.55%48.43%48.66%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Antonio Spurs (Visit)
Prediction 53.60%1.87fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.67%53.61%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8159.88%56.54%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 46.40%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 53.60%. For Denver Nuggets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.155. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.150, with an expected value of -0.230%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.230%E -0.107%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.230%E -0.107%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.42%E -5.58%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.16%E -0.544%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.16%E -0.544%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -2.99%E -1.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.41%E -2.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 16:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 16:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 02:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 04:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.50%E -6.28%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.82%E -4.54%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 19:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |