L’École des cotes

Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 19:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prévision 46.40%2.15cote équitable
EV -0.230%
Avantage -0.107%
Kelly -0.200%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.01%46.33%46.39%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.062.052.1551.55%48.43%48.66%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Antonio Spurs (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.60%1.87cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -3.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%53.67%53.61%55.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.771.8159.88%56.54%56.50%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.230%E -0.107%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 18:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.230%E -0.107%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.42%E -5.58%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.16%E -0.544%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.16%E -0.544%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:59
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:10
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 14:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:04
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:59
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 18:39
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 18:59
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:00
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 14:49
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:04
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 19:00
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 19:00
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -2.99%E -1.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 19:00
ReBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:59
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 18:49
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.41%E -2.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:38
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:59
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:04
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:04
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 14:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:10
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:59
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:29
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:29
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 02:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 18:19
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 04:45
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:59
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.50%E -6.28%K -15.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.82%E -4.54%K -10.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 19:03
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-04-04 19:04
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-04-04 19:00
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:04
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 18:59
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-04 17:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-04 18:30
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-04-04 19:00