La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs

Inicio: 2026-04-04 19:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 46.40%2.15momio equitativo
EV -0.230%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.200%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.01%46.33%46.39%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.062.052.1551.55%48.43%48.66%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Antonio Spurs (Visitante)

Predicción 53.60%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.67%53.61%55.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.771.8159.88%56.54%56.50%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.230%E -0.107%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 18:39
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.230%E -0.107%K -0.200%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.42%E -5.58%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.16%E -0.544%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 18:55
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.16%E -0.544%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 18:59
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -1.62%E -0.765%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:10
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 14:00
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:04
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 18:59
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 18:39
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -5.67%E -3.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 18:59
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:00
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.55%E -1.21%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:49
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 14:49
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:04
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:49
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 19:00
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 19:00
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.48%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 19:00
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -2.99%E -1.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 19:00
ReBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:59
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.94%E -1.90%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 18:49
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.41%E -2.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 16:38
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:39
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:44
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:59
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:04
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:04
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.06%E -2.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 18:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 14:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.21%E -3.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:10
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.74%E -3.88%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.87%E -2.38%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:59
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:29
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.33%E -2.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.60%E -2.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 13:29
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:59
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 02:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 18:19
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 18:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.53%E -1.96%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.14%E -2.90%K -6.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 04:45
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.28%E -4.21%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:59
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.19%E -3.60%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.50%E -6.28%K -15.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.87%EV -9.51%E -4.88%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -7.82%E -4.54%K -10.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 19:03
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -5.14%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.89%E -5.23%K -12.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-04-04 19:04
ProphetX2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-04-04 19:00
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 19:04
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-04-04 18:59
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-04 17:50
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-04 18:30
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%1.8%2026-04-04 19:00