La scuola delle quote

Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inizio: 2026-04-18 19:45 UTC

Finale: Denver Nuggets 116–105 Minnesota Timberwolves

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Casa)

Previsione 70.97%1.41quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -7.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.44%70.94%70.96%72.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.341.341.3778.13%74.48%74.63%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.03%3.44quota equa
EV +3.92%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.060%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.38%29.06%29.04%30.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.293.303.5833.33%30.41%30.30%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV +3.92%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.060%2.0%2026-04-18 19:15
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV +1.60%E +0.456%K +0.639%G +0.010%2.1%2026-04-18 19:40
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +0.436%E +0.126%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 18:07
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:40
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 19:30
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -1.89%E -0.558%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 19:40
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -2.18%E -0.646%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 19:20
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 19:14
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 19:15
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 19:20
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 18:55
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.05%E -0.912%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:20
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:15
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:15
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:40
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:14
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 10:44
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:40
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:39
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:40
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:40
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 19:40
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 17:40
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 14:05
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 16:20
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.16%E -7.15%K -32.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 19:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:55
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 19:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-18 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51%0.7%2026-04-18 19:35
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51%0.7%2026-04-18 19:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-18 19:40
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-18 15:30
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-18 19:10
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-18 19:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-04-18 19:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-18 19:40