مدرسة الاحتمالات

Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves

البداية: 2026-04-18 19:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Denver Nuggets 116–105 Minnesota Timberwolves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Denver Nuggets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.97%1.41السعر العادل
EV -2.77%
الأفضلية -2.02%
Kelly -7.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.44%70.94%70.96%72.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.281.341.341.3778.13%74.48%74.63%72.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Minnesota Timberwolves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.03%3.44السعر العادل
EV +3.92%
الأفضلية +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
النمو +0.060%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.38%29.06%29.04%30.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.293.303.5833.33%30.41%30.30%27.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV +3.92%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.060%2.0%2026-04-18 19:15
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV +1.60%E +0.456%K +0.639%G +0.010%2.1%2026-04-18 19:40
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +0.436%E +0.126%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 18:07
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:40
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 19:30
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -1.89%E -0.558%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 19:40
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -2.18%E -0.646%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 19:20
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 19:14
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 19:15
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 19:20
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 18:55
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.05%E -0.912%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:20
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:15
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:15
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:40
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:14
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 10:44
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:40
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:39
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:40
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:40
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 19:40
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 17:40
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 14:05
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 16:20
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.16%E -7.15%K -32.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 19:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:55
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 19:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-18 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51%0.7%2026-04-18 19:35
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51%0.7%2026-04-18 19:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-18 19:40
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-18 15:30
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-18 19:10
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-18 19:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-04-18 19:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-18 19:40