La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Predicción 70.97%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -7.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.44%70.94%70.96%72.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.341.341.3778.13%74.48%74.63%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)
Predicción 29.03%3.44momio equitativo
EV +3.92%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.060%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.38%29.06%29.04%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.293.303.5833.33%30.41%30.30%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV +3.92%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.060% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV +1.60%E +0.456%K +0.639%G +0.010% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +0.436%E +0.126%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 18:07 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -1.89%E -0.558%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -2.18%E -0.646%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-18 19:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 19:14 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 18:55 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.05%E -0.912%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 16:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:14 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 10:44 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:40 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 14:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 18:25 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| TAB | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 14:05 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.16%E -7.15%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 19:15 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 22:20 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 19:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| Novig | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| BetOpenly | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51% | 0.7% | 2026-04-18 19:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 19:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 19:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 19:40 |