L’École des cotes

Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 19:45 UTC

Score final : Denver Nuggets 116–105 Minnesota Timberwolves

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prévision 70.97%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -7.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.44%70.94%70.96%72.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.341.341.3778.13%74.48%74.63%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.03%3.44cote équitable
EV +3.92%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.060%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.38%29.06%29.04%30.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.293.303.5833.33%30.41%30.30%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 72.62%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.38%EV +3.92%E +1.09%K +1.52%G +0.060%2.0%2026-04-18 19:15
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV +1.60%E +0.456%K +0.639%G +0.010%2.1%2026-04-18 19:40
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.78%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.22%EV +0.436%E +0.126%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.4%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 18:07
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:40
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.31%E -0.384%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 19:30
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -1.89%E -0.558%K -0.792%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 19:40
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -2.18%E -0.646%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-18 19:20
Bet Victor1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 19:14
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 19:15
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 19:20
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 18:55
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.76%E -0.823%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.05%E -0.912%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 16:20
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:20
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:15
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:15
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.21%E -1.28%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 19:15
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:40
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:14
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 10:44
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:15
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:40
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.90%E -3.65%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 14:39
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 18:25
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:40
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 19:40
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.74%E -5.95%K -25.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -5.66%E -1.74%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 18:40
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 19:40
TAB1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 17:40
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.77%E -2.02%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 14:05
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.19%E -3.10%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:40
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.61%E -4.22%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.11%E -2.22%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 19:15
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 16:20
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.16%E -7.15%K -32.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -8.56%E -2.72%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 19:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:20
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.48%E -2.56%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.01%E -3.23%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:55
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.32%E -4.79%K -19.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.92%E -4.31%K -6.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-04-18 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51%0.7%2026-04-18 19:35
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 72.49%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.51%0.7%2026-04-18 19:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-18 19:40
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-18 15:30
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-18 19:10
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-18 19:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-04-18 19:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-18 19:40