Language:English
Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 69.14%1.45fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.63%69.14%69.19%70.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.371.4375.76%72.94%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Rockets (Visit)
Prediction 30.86%3.24fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.562%
Kelly +0.806%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%30.86%30.81%32.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.3035.71%32.01%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 69.14%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 30.86%. For Houston Rockets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.28%E -3.86%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.85%E -0.582%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-12 01:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 23:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.28%E -3.86%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 01:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.74%E -6.62%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.14%E -0.795%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-12 01:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 01:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 01:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 01:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 02:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 00:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 02:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 02:02 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.25%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 01:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 01:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 01:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 23:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 00:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-12 02:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 01:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 02:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-12 01:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 01:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 02:04 |