La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets

Inicio: 2026-03-12 02:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 69.14%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -2.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.63%69.14%69.19%70.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.371.4375.76%72.94%72.99%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Rockets (Visitante)

Predicción 30.86%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.562%
Kelly +0.806%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.18%30.86%30.81%32.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.3035.71%32.01%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:04
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:05
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:05
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 02:04
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 02:04
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 02:04
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 02:04
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.28%E -3.86%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 02:04
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.85%E -0.582%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 02:04
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 01:49
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 01:39
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 23:59
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.28%E -3.86%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 02:05
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 02:04
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 01:54
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.74%E -6.62%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 02:04
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 17:25
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 01:59
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 02:00
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.14%E -0.795%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 01:44
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:59
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 00:04
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:19
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:19
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 01:59
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:05
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 00:09
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 02:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:09
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 02:05
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 02:05
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:02
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.25%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 01:19
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 01:59
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 01:19
TAB1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 01:09
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 23:59
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:09
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 01:59
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 02:00
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 01:24
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:59
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 02:03
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-12 02:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%0.6%2026-03-12 02:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:54
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 02:00
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-12 01:54
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-12 02:04
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-03-12 02:04