Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Denver Nuggets v Houston Rockets

Начало: 2026-03-12 02:10 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

63 букмекерские конторы (22 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Denver Nuggets (Хозяева)

Прогноз 69.14%1.45справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.14%
Преимущество -0.795%
Kelly -2.64%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.43

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.63%69.14%69.19%70.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.371.371.4375.76%72.94%72.99%69.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Houston Rockets (Гости)

Прогноз 30.86%3.24справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.85%
Преимущество +0.562%
Kelly +0.806%
Рост +0.015%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.18%30.86%30.81%32.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.123.103.3035.71%32.01%32.26%30.30%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Denver Nuggets (Хозяева): 69.14%; Houston Rockets (Гости): 30.86%. Для исхода «Houston Rockets (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.24. 12 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.30, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.85%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (63 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.85%E +0.562%K +0.806%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-12 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:05
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 02:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +0.311%E +0.096%K +0.138%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 02:04
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 02:04
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -5.28%E -3.86%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -1.23%E -0.385%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 02:04
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.43%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.57%EV -1.85%E -0.582%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-12 02:04
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-12 01:49
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 23:59
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:04
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.28%E -3.86%K -14.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 02:05
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 01:54
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -8.74%E -6.62%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.78%E -0.881%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 02:04
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 17:25
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 01:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -3.70%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 02:00
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -1.14%E -0.795%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-12 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 00:04
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:19
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 01:19
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.90%E -2.81%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:05
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 00:09
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:09
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 02:05
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.32%E -1.39%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 02:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -4.94%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:02
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.25%E -1.71%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 01:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.59%E -3.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.86%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 01:19
TAB🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.52%E -1.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 01:09
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 23:59
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 00:24
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.98%E -4.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 02:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.67%E -4.94%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.41%E -2.47%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 01:24
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.21%E -2.29%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -8.05%E -6.05%K -24.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.95%E -3.03%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 02:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%EV -7.36%E -5.49%K -21.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -13.58%E -4.85%K -7.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-12 02:04
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.98%3.31I 30.21%NM 30.02%0.6%2026-03-12 02:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:54
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 02:00
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-03-12 01:59
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-12 01:54
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-12 02:04
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-03-12 02:04